That Research is Crappy: It stinks!
Goodness Criteria in Social Research
Any topic in society or politics that garners some interest in even the tiniest of publics will these days be
met
with a host of social research. Needless to say, such research will be of very disparate quality. But how
can we
"cut through the crap" and get to the valuable findings? That is an extremely difficult task, because the
disparity of goodness criteria is almost as large as the quality variance in social research. Different
theoretical traditions use completely different evaluation criteria, and, what is worse, hardly ever talk
about
these criteria across paradigms. Scholars that work on the same substantive topics may use completely
different
(albeit not always incompatible) theories, depending on their paradigm affiliation. Each of these paradigms
— be it constructionism, Marxism, rational choice, to name only the few most visible paradigms —
has
developed its own set of criteria, which decide about the "goodness" or "badness" of a theory. In this
seminar
we will get to know several goodness criteria stemming from important contemporary theoretical traditions.
We
will compare these criteria in an initial effort to distill goodness criteria that are valid for all social
science research.
The seminar is divided into five sections. After a short overview on the topic, part II will cover
traditional goodness criteria, namely validity, reliability, parsimony, and empirical falsifiability. Part
III
discusses goodness criteria that aim at the substantive content of a theory. Part IV introduces the most
common
statistical goodness criteria and checks, if these criteria reflect the theoretical criteria developed in
the
previous weeks. In the last part of the seminar we will finally apply goodness criteria to a number of
existing
studies.
Organization: All required readings are to be read prior to the sessions to which
they are assigned.
Requirements: Students must submit weekly assignments and produce either a term paper or an oral
presentation.
Grading: assignments 70%, class participation 20%, presentation 10%; when term paper is chosen:
assignments 55%, class participation 10%, term paper 35%
Prerequisites: Knowledge in statistical methodology at least at the level of Statistik 2,
basic knowledge of research methodology (e.g., Schein in "Einführung in die Methoden
empirischer Sozialforschung"); some knowledge of German, sociological theory, quantitative methodology
and
epistemology a plus.
I Introduction
Week 1: Constitutive Session
Presentation of the Syllabus, organization of the class.
Recommended Literature (for the entire term)
- Blalock, Hubert M. 1984. Basic Dilemmas in the Social Sciences. Beverly Hills: Sage Publications.
- ---- 1982. Conceptualization and Measurement in the Social Sciences. Beverly Hills: Sage
Publications.
- Bourdieu, Pierre, Jean-Claude Chamboredon, and Jean-Claude Passeron. 1991. Soziologie als Beruf:
Wissenschaftstheoretische Voraussetzungen soziologischer Erkenntnis.
Berlin & New York, NY: de Gruyter.
- Flyvbjerg Bent. 2001. Making Social Science Matter : Why Social Inquiry Fails and How It Can Succeed
Again. Cambridge, U.K.: Cambridge University Press.
Week 2: The State of the Art
In an entertaining and extremely well argued essay, former NORC-boss James
A.
Davis analyzes the strength and weaknesses of contemporary social research. The questions he raises will
follow
us through the course of the seminar.
Required Readings
- Davis, James A. 1994. "What's Wrong with Sociology?" Sociological Forum 9:179-97.
Recommended Readings
- Sociological Forum 9 (2), 1994. Special Issue on "What's Wrong With Sociology?".
II Formal Goodness Criteria
The first part of the seminar deals with the most common formal (processual) criteria for goodness. These criteria have an elective affinity with rational choice theories in the realm of social science paradigms and with liberalism in the realm of political philosophy, but can also fairly easily be adapted to other theories and philosophies.
Week 3: Validity: Theory
(Almost) all students who took a class in introductory research methods know that empirical research should
rely
on "valid" indicators for the measurement of theoretical concepts. In this class we will elaborate the
concept
of validity and learn to distinguish different types of validity (ecological validity, construct validity,
etc.).
Required Readings
- Blalock, Hubert M. 1984. Basic Dilemmas in the Social Sciences. Beverly Hills: Sage Publications,
pp.
62-71.
- Flyvbjerg Bent. 2001. Making Social Science Matter : Why Social Inquiry Fails and How It Can Succeed
Again. Cambridge, U.K.: Cambridge University Press, 2001, pp. 38-52.
Recommended Readings
- Thomas D. and Donald T. Campbell. 1979. Quasi-Experimentation Design & Analysis Issues for Field
Settings. Boston et al.: Houghton Mifflin Company, pp. 37-94.
Week 4: Validity: Praxis
From an epistemological standpoint, the concept of validity is fairly easily delineated. The trouble usually
starts when one tries to apply the methodological guidelines that result from the validity criterion to
actual
research. Then it turns out that these guidelines are not sufficiently specific to select a definite
methodology. In the end, a lot depends on the theoretical framework in the decision, which methodology leads
to
the most valid results. We will explore how these difficulties are tackled with the example of newspaper
data on
collective action.
Required Reading
- Snyder, David and William R. Kelly. 1977. "Conflict Intensity, Media Sensitivity and the Validity of
Newspaper Data." American Sociological Review 42(1):105-23.
Recommended Reading
- Oliver, Pamela E. and Gregory M. Maney. 2000. "Political Processes and Local Newspaper Coverage of
Protest
Events: From Selection Bias to Triadic Interactions." American Journal of Sociology
106(2):463-505.
Week 5: Reliability
Research results ought to be reproducible. This demand might be fair enough for the natural sciences. In the social sciences we face two serious problems in this respect, though:
- Society is in a constant flux; what might have been an adequate research design in 1925 Bavaria may not be suitable for 2002 Burkina Faso.
- The measurement of theoretical constructs is at best indirectly. What, if the measurement theories are flawed?
How can we nevertheless achieve somewhat reliable results?
Required Reading
- Blalock, Hubert M. 1984. Basic Dilemmas in the Social Sciences. Beverly Hills: Sage Publications,
pp.
72-80.
Recommended Readings
- Cassel, Carol A. 1984. "Issues in Measurement: The "Levels of Conceptualization" Index of Ideological
Sophistication." American Journal of Political Sciences 28 (2): 418-29.
- Stuart C. and Ethal Shanas. 1943. "Operational Definitions, Operationally Defined." American Journal
of
Sociology 48 (4): 482-91.
Week 6: Parsimony
"You gotta differentiate!" That's one of the key phrases social science students learn in their first semester. But the Pawlowian response to any question is not always the correct one. Contrary to conventional wisdom among sociology majors that differentiation always improves a theory, it might well be the case that simplification makes more theoretical headway. In fact, scientific theories chiefly try to meaningfully simplify empirical reality. Therefore, parsimony is an important criterion for the power of a theory.
Required Readings
- Arrow, Kenneth J. Mathematical Models in the Social Sciences. Daniel Lerner, and Harold Dwight Lasswell,
eds., The policy sciences: recent developments in scope and method. Stanford, CA: Stanford
University
Press; 1951; pp. 129-154.
- Hirschman, Albert O. 1984. Against Parsimony: Three Easy Ways of Complicating Some Categories of
Economic
Discourse. American Economic Review 74: 89-96.
- Blalock, Hubert M. 1982. Conceptualization and Measurement in the Social Sciences. Beverly Hills:
Sage Publications; pp. 27-32.
- Przeworski, Adam, and Henry Teune. 1970. Generality, Parsimony, Accuracy, and Casualty, in: The Logic of Comparative Social Inquiry. New York: John Wiley, pp. 20-23.
Also, please shave with Occam's Razor!
Week 7: Testability …
In the so-called positivism dispute in German sociology, Critical Rationalists around Popper insisted on empirical falsifiabilty as the sine qua non of social scientific theories.
Required Reading
- Popper, Karl R. 1966. Logik der Forschung. Tübingen, FR Germany: J.C.B. Mohr, chapter 1
& 2.
Recommended Readings
- Lakatos, Imre. 1970. "Falsification and the Methodology of Scientific Research Programmes." Criticism
and
the Growth of Knowledge, eds. Imre Lakatos and Alan Musgrave. London, U.K.: Cambridge University
Press.
III Substantive Goodness Criteria
Primarily theories somewhat connected to Neo-Marxism apply (also) some substantive content criteria to social research.
Week 8: … vs. social critism (?)
Frankfurt School emphatically rejected Popper's testability criterion, because a solemn recourse to empirical data would contain an inherently conservative effect (because empirical data inevitably are rooted in the past. Instead Frankfurt School insists that social theory should always be aware of and critical about its social context, i.e. societal totality. With respect to the latter, Popper's "facts" might conceal Adorno's "social totality."
Required Readings
- Adorno Theodor W. 1962. "Zur Logik der Sozialwissenschaften." Kölner Zeitschrift für
Soziologie
und Sozialpsychologie 14(2):249-63.
- Habermas, Jürgen. 1963. "Analytische Wissenschaftstheorie und Dialektik: Ein Nachtrag zur
Kontroverse
zwischen Popper und Adorno." Pp. 155-91 in Theodor W. Adorno, Ralf Dahrendorf, Jürgen Habermas,
Harald
Pilot, and Karl R. Popper, Der Positivismusstreit in der Deutschen Soziologie. Darmstadt, FR
Germany:
Luchterhand Literaturverlag, 1989.
Recommended Readings
- Adorno Theodor W. et al. 1969. Der Positivismusstreit in der Deutschen Soziologie. Neuwied;
Berlin:
Luchterhand, 1969.
Check out this warped reading on the differences about the role of facts between Frankfurt School and Critical Rationalism.
Week 9: Constructionism I: Theory of Category Construction
Although there are still numerous references to Frankfurt School in contemporary literature, it is safe to say that its heyday has long passed. In social theory, social constructionism/constructivism is the rage of the day in theory circles, identity politics has replaced Neo-Marxism among progressive policy makers. Even though constructionism has been en vogue more than a decade by now, there still is very little systematic criteria that could evaluate constructionist approaches. It is two grand theorists, who do not fall squarely into the constructionist camp, who have developed some fruitful goodness criteria for constructionist research. Niklas Luhmann and Pierre Bourdieu reiterate, for instance the fairly ancient, yet counterintuitive demand that constructionist categories should not be derived from everyday concepts. Even though hardly anyone disputes the utility of the their theses, the many constructionists do not follow their guidelines.
Required Readings
- Luhmann, Niklas. 1990. Soziologische Aufklärung 5: Konstruktivistische Perspektiven.
Opladen:
Westdeutscher Verlag, chapter 1.
- Bourdieu, Pierre, Jean-Claude Chamboredon, and Jean-Claude Passeron. 1991. Soziologie als Beruf
Wissenschaftstheoretische Voraussetzungen soziologischer Erkenntnis. Berlin & New York, NY:
de
Gruyter, pp. 15-36.
Week 10: Constructionism II: Concept Construction — Praxis
Taking the concept of society as an example, it will be shown that many theoretical approaches take a fairly naive approach to social reality.
Required Reading
- Luhmann, Niklas. 1992. "The Concept of Society." Thesis Eleven 31: 67-80.
Recommended Readings
- Billig, Michael. 1995. Banal Nationalism. London, U.K., Thousand Oaks, CA & New Delhi, India:
Sage.
- Elias, Norbert. 1991. Über den Prozeß der Zivilisation: Soziogenetische und
Psychogenetische
Untersuchungen - Erster Band: Wandlungen des Verhaltens in den Weltlichen Oberschichten des
Abendlandes. Frankfurt a/M, FR Germany: Suhrkamp, Einleitung.
Week 11: Constructionism III: The Social Construction of What?
Over the last two decades, analyses of social construction have skyrocketed. Yet, one wonders, what does it really mean, when we speak of the social construction of "marriage", "rocks", "nations", "genders", or "doorsteps"? When is imperative, when is it tautological, when is it sensible to speak of social construction? These are the question Hacking asks in his seminal essay on the social construction of what. BTW, one chapter indeed covers the social construction of what.
Required Readings
- Hacking, Ian. 1999. The Social Construction of What? Cambridge, Mass: Harvard University Press,
pp.
1-62.
IV Statistical Measures of Goodness
The last part of the seminar will check, if the theoretical criteria we covered in the previous weeks are applicable to quantitative data.
Week 12: Measures of Association
When it comes to association measures (e.g. Pearson's correlation coefficient), many social researchers think "the bigger, the better." That motto ignores the specific attributes of different correlation measures and tends to neglect the issue of familiarity with a measure within the scientific community. Buchanan discusses these questions in his article.
Required Readings
- Buchanan, William. Nominal and Ordinal Bivariate Statistics: The Practitioner's View. American Journal of Political Science. 1974; 18 (3): 625-646.
Week 13: Bayesian Criteria I
With traditional statistical measures for goodness of fit like the Χ2 Kolmogorov-Smirnov-Test one can only compare nested models. That is troublesome, because most theoretical alternatives for the explanation of social phenomena rely on entirely different factors and are, thus, non-nested. What is more, traditional goodness criteria also do not consider the complexity of a model sufficiently. These shortcomings have recently triggered a growing advocacy of Bayesian goodness criteria, which do not share these problems.
Required Readings
- Rudolf K. 1998. "Kolmogorov Test, http://rkb.home.cern.ch/rkb/AN16pp/node143.html,
02. Juli 2002.
- "Chi-square Test," <http://rkb.home.cern.ch/rkb/AN16pp/node32.html,
02. Juli 2002.
- Raftery, Adrian H. 1995. "Bayesian Model Selection in Social Research." Sociological Methodology
25:112-65.
Recommended Readings
- Sociological Methods and Research 27 (3).
- Western, Bruce. 1999. "Bayesian Analysis for Sociologists." Sociological Methods and Research 28
(1):
7-34.
Week 14: Bayesian Criteria II
Follow-up on last week's discussion.
Required Reading
- Bartels, Larry M. 1997. "Specification Uncertainty and Model Averaging." American Journal of
Political
Science 41(2): 641-74.
Recommended Reading
- Western, Bruce. 1996. "Vague Theory and Model Uncertainty in Macrosociology." Sociological
Methodology 26:165-92.
V Round-up
Week 15: Round-up Discussion
Optionally, the last session will be a weekend session, in which students can present reviews of research
they
have evaluated with the criteria we have covered throughout the seminar.
Required Reading
- Flyvbjerg Bent. 2001. Making Social Science Matter : Why Social Inquiry Fails and How It Can Succeed
Again. Cambridge, U.K.: Cambridge University Press, 2001, pp. 129-140.
Recommended Readings
see Weeks 1 & 2